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Dr. Katy Serafin

Dr. Katy Serafin

Assistant Professor

Affiliate Faculty, Florida Climate Institute

Affiliate Faculty, UF Water Institute


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Focus Areas

Research Statement:

I am a coastal scientist who researches extreme sea levels and coastal hazards to better understand how our coastlines are changing and the resultant consequences for people and places. I combine observational datasets with statistical and numerical models to understand the frequency, drivers, and impacts of coastal flooding and erosion events. Some of my interests include compound flooding hazards, extreme value analysis, coastal processes, human-natural coupled systems, flood risk management in a changing climate, and climate adaptation and resilience. The dynamic and broad nature of coastal science demands a highly interdisciplinary approach and I work with collaborators in different fields, institutions, and government agencies to enhance the resilience of communities to the impacts of coastal hazards.

Current Graduate Students



Recent Publications

Serafin, K.A., Ruggiero, P., Parker, K. and Hill, D.F., 2019. What’s streamflow got to do with it? A probabilistic simulation of the competing oceanographic and fluvial processes driving extreme along-river water levels. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 19(7), pp.1415-1431. DOI: 10.5194/nhess-19-1415-2019

Serafin, K.A., Ruggiero, P., Barnard, P.L. and Stockdon, H.F., 2019. The influence of shelf bathymetry and beach topography on extreme total water levels: Linking large-scale changes of the wave climate to local coastal hazards. Coastal Engineering, 150, pp.1-17. DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2019.03.012

Parker, K., Ruggiero, P., Serafin, K.A. and Hill, D.F., 2019. Emulation as an approach for rapid estuarine modeling. Coastal Engineering, 150, pp.79-93. DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2019.03.004

Cohn, N., Ruggiero, P., García-Medina, G., Anderson, D., Serafin, K.A. and Biel, R., 2019. Environmental and morphologic controls on wave-induced dune response. Geomorphology, 329, pp.108-128. DOI: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2018.12.023

Mills, A.K., Bolte, J.P., Ruggiero, P., Serafin, K.A., Lipiec, E., Corcoran, P., Stevenson, J., Zanocco, C. and Lach, D., 2018. Exploring the impacts of climate and policy changes on coastal community resilience: Simulating alternative future scenarios. Environmental modelling & software, 109, pp.80-92. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.07.022

Lipiec, E., Ruggiero, P., Mills, A., Serafin, K.A., Bolte, J., Corcoran, P., Stevenson, J., Zanocco, C. and Lach, D., 2018. Mapping out climate change: Assessing how coastal communities adapt using alternative future scenarios. Journal of Coastal Research, 34(5), pp.1196-1208. DOI: 10.2112/JCOASTRES-D-17-00115.1

Erikson, L.H., Espejo, A., Barnard, P.L., Serafin, K.A., Hegermiller, C.A., O’Neill, A., Ruggiero, P., Limber, P.W. and Mendez, F.J., 2018. Identification of storm events and contiguous coastal sections for deterministic modeling of extreme coastal flood events in response to climate change. Coastal Engineering, 140, pp.316-330. DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2018.08.003

Serafin, K.A., Ruggiero, P. and Stockdon, H.F., 2017. The relative contribution of waves, tides, and nontidal residuals to extreme total water levels on US West Coast sandy beaches. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(4), pp.1839-1847. DOI: 10.1002/2016GL071020

Barnard, P.L., Hoover, D., Hubbard, D.M., Snyder, A., Ludka, B.C., Allan, J., Kaminsky, G.M., Ruggiero, P., Gallien, T.W., Gabel, L. and McCandless, D., Weiner, H.M., Cohn, N., Anderson, D.L., Serafin, K.A., 2017. Extreme oceanographic forcing and coastal response due to the 2015–2016 El Niño. Nature Communications, 8, p.14365. DOI: 10.1038/ncomms14365

Serafin, K.A. and Ruggiero, P., 2014. Simulating extreme total water levels using a time-dependent, extreme value approach. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 119(9), pp.6305-6329. DOI: 10.1002/2014JC010093

Chavas, D., Yonekura, E., Karamperidou, C., Cavanaugh, N. and Serafin, K., 2012. US hurricanes and economic damage: Extreme value perspective. Natural Hazards Review, 14(4), pp.237-246. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000102

Educational Background

  • PhD in Ocean, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, 2017
  • M.S. in Ocean, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, 2013
  • B.A. in Environmental Studies, Connecticut College, 2008

Current Graduate Students

Currently accepting applications for graduate students to begin in Fall 2020.